Ten Steps to Staving Off Destruction

Collin

soap and water
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Everything hurts right now, but this is not the end of the world. We aren't going to go 5-11 and we aren't guaranteed to miss the playoffs. We can come out of the bye on fire and we have ended seasons strongly under Fox before. We can do it again, here's how:


#1) Convert more third downs
We are last in the NFL in third down conversions by a pretty large margin. Part of it has to do with drops, another part is questionable protection, part of it is play-calling, and part of it is inaccuracy from Jake. So far it hasn't mattered whether the third downs have been long or short, although short is obviously preferable.

We fix this problem by using the bye to work on Jake's mechanics, then design plays giving him multiple options that don't require 7 step drops. Have Key running ins and outs at the first down marker with Smith running drag routes or vertical routes that challenge the defense to stay with him. Also, keep the tight end in to help more with pass protection so that we can get Foster out into his patterns. Third downs are our biggest problem by far right now, as we were 6th best in the NFL last season and are currently 32nd. Fix this and we have a much better chance to win games.


#2) Tackle somebody
The number of missed tackles is positively embarrassing, and it's inexcusable. The corners, safeties, and linebackers in particular need to work on their tackling form. They have to stop going for the hit with the arms tucked and start putting their head across the ball carrier's body, wrapping up with their arms, and bringing the offensive player down. Right now there are far too many arm tackles because defenders are coming up out of control, and there are too many instances of players trying to deliver the knockout punch or trying to strip the ball away instead of making sure the ball carrier comes down. Tackle first, then strip as they're going down.


#3) Make the linebackers stay in their gaps
We continue to have problems with the linebackers flowing to the line action and taking themselves out of the play when the RB cuts back. Fox, Trgovac, Flajole or someone needs to drill it into their heads that they have an area of responsibility and they are not to leave that area unless the RB is running free. We need to force running backs from the inside out instead of flowing to the edges and giving up yards up the middle.


#4) Stop dropping passes
No off-days for any of the receivers over the next 14 days. They need to report to the practice fields every day to catch 500 balls out of the machine. Too often they are looking downfield for where to run instead of securing the ball. This has been a problem for most of our guys, which means it's a concentration issue and not being emphasized enough in practice. Fix it.


#5) Run more effectively in short yardage
Using Hoover on the FB dives is fine, but it's not going to fool people often. Instead I'd like to line up Foster a little closer behind Delhomme and fire off somewhere between the tackles. We don't get great push directly up the middle, but on the TD today Gross got some good movement so he may be our best option. Maser needs to get the guys working on staying low, using their hands, and driving with power. Gross and Wahle are getting paid enough to handle this. For Hoover and the tight ends, I don't like their strength enough to give them hole-opening assignments, but wham blocks where they hit defenders at angles to get them off balance might help.


#6) Call better runs
Al Michaels noted that we have a higher percentage of our runs between the tackles than any team in the league. Foster has speed, so we should be using it. Unfortunately it seems like the only thing we run outside is the toss play, and defenses read that too well. We need to have naked counter action with Foster taking his first step as if he's coming inside but then bouncing it out by design. We can kick out with one guard or Hoover as well, but we have to stop designing all our runs to go behind the line's movement. Defenses always read that and beat us to the spot. More misdirection is key to keeping defenses off balance and will help even when we do run behind the line's movement.


#7) Find a return man
If we have to bring up Efrem Hill, so be it. If we need to have Smith handling punts and kickoffs, that's fine too, but something needs to change. We cannot keep having ball security issues on returns, and it would help tremendously if we had better starting field position. The front office has ignored this for far too long, so if there is a free agent out there with returning experience, we need to cut Hankton and go get him.


#8) Correct our return coverage
Our special teams coverage units are downright sorry. We are giving up one big return after another because our guys do not stay in their lanes and do not tackle when they have opportunities. Forget the big hit, we need to wrap up and bring people down. Crossman needs to have his guys do tackling drills for the next two weeks, and if they aren't tough enough to handle it correctly, cut them and find people who will.


#9) Play tighter in the secondary
I know that Fox likes the umbrella scheme where we don't take a chance on allowing big plays and instead keep everything in front of us, but we are getting killed by short throws and yardage after the catch. The corners need to play closer to the line and be more aggressive about challenging passes in the air. Similarly, the safeties need to play closer and take away some of those middle zones where tight ends and other receivers have been killing us. This will increase the risk of big plays, but we're being nickel and dimed to death already.


#10) Be willing to adjust
Part of success is not abandoning what you do well or making changes just for the heck of it, but this coaching staff has been very slow about doing the things necessary to fix problems. Unfortunately I suspect that many of the suggestions above will not be addressed precisely because we don't make adjustments in scheme. We need to be less arrogant and more aggressive, realizing that things are not working with the current approach. This has to start at the very top, but I have my doubts as to whether or not Fox will be willing to take such radical steps.

Meanwhile I'm absolutely sure that the players do care about winning, and I think people who don't have probably been too removed from sports to remember the competitiveness of athletes, but I do think that this blind faith in the system that Fox has encouraged breeds denial when things aren't going well. We approach games with an even-keel where we trust that things will work out the way they've been planned. We need to come out with more of an edge than that, and admitting that some things need to be changed will hopefully produce the attitude we need.


If we do some or all of these things, we can get right back into the playoff race. We have the talent and we have the opportunity, we just have to regroup during the bye week, prepare, and attack each remaining game with the seriousness they deserve.
 
I don't know if it's possible to keep the TE in much more than we do, on average.

Seeing Hartwig out there, he looked hungry. Time to reinstall him. If Mathis earns a bench, he earns a bench, but you don't bench him by default, Hangartner's not that good either. I'll restate that we may as well use some tackle eligible, if we're going to be so obvious and if we're going to insist on this unbalanced line stuff.


having Lucas hopefully healthy (the guy gets dinged constantly this year), having Williams and Davis 100%, that should help (some). Just as DW being back will help, some. There's your return man, and now you sit Marshall and you don't let him return shit for the year. Otherwise, we won't get that much help from the rest. Maybe we'll put Jenkins and Kemoeatu on a treadmill.
 
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Yeah, Hartwig definitely needs to start. Also, I'm honestly about ready to see someone else at RDE on passing downs. Activating McClover is a possibility, but I doubt Fox will do it, much less use him. Instead I'd be curious to see Jenkins out on the edge, leaving Lewis and maybe Moorehead inside. I like Rucker and I still think he's an asset, but he's not generating enough pressure in passing situations. Jenkins is quick enough to do some work outside and I noticed we had him outside at least once in a three man line, while he also has the power to walk the left tackle back into the pocket. Peppers can't do this thing by himself.

And if DW is healthy, he needs to get more carries. Foster has done reasonably well given the poor blocking, but DW gives us more explosion and the two should be used in more of a rotation instead of Fox stubbornly sticking to one guy.

Also, what ever happened to our three wide sets? Why can't we line up and hit Carter on a slant if the defense brings more men than we can block? It seems that we're so set on compensating for our tackles that we only have the two wideouts running patterns.
 
I don't know if it's possible to keep the TE in much more than we do, on average.

Seeing Hartwig out there, he looked hungry. Time to reinstall him. If Mathis earns a bench, he earns a bench, but you don't bench him by default, Hangartner's not that good either. I'll restate that we may as well use some tackle eligible, if we're going to be so obvious and if we're going to insist on this unbalanced line stuff.


having Lucas hopefully healthy (the guy gets dinged constantly this year), having Williams and Davis 100%, that should help (some). Just as DW being back will help, some. There's your return man, and now you sit Marshall and you don't let him return shit for the year. Otherwise, we won't get that much help from the rest. Maybe we'll put Jenkins and Kemoeatu on a treadmill.
Agree on Hartwig. I'd also like to see Carstens back in over Moorehead.

The "committee" approach at TE isn't working. We need one guy who can play consistently, and that guy isn't on our current roster. That issue likely doesn't get fixed till the offseason.

I said weeks ago I wished the Panthers would sign a guy like Petter Warrick to handle all returns. If they don't make a move like that now, then that's likely another "not till the offseason" action.
 
#4) Stop dropping passes

Needless to say, this is huge. You would expect an occasional drop from Colbert or the TE's, but when your starting wideouts continue to drop catchable passes, you're going to have a hard time scoring enough points. When they are dropping touchdown passes, you're pretty much screwed. One of the things that made Smitty's 2005 season so special was his ability to catch virtually every catchable ball. Now, he's having trouble with some of the easier ones.




As for coaching, I believe that this was one of the worst games ever by Fox and co. For instance, at the start of the 2nd quarter, Dallas was breaking the huddle while Draft was still talking to Trgovac. We finally got the play in while the Cowboys were lining up, but the DB's weren't completely set. This lead to an easy first down for Dallas on a sideline play to Glenn. Mistakes happen, but this was unacceptable. It almost seemed as if the coaches had no idea that the quarter was about to start, with no real sense of urgency to get the playcall in. Then there were numerous examples of late personnel changes, another unnecessary timeout, and Fox challenging a play that was obviously not going to be overturned. It was just a bad night for the guys, and while you don't like to throw all of the blame in one spot, we did seem to get out-coached, much like we were out-played.


The lack of a return man does kill us. Marshall is clueless. Before we cut Hankton, we should definitely get rid of Kevin McCadam. Then we can add somebody with some return skill. Hell, at this point, I wouldn't be so opposed towards bringing back Rod Smart. He can play gunner, easily replacing McCadam. He isn't a great return guy, but at least he has somewhat of a clue about how to do the job.




I was at this game, and I was deeply ashamed of my team. But it certainly is not the End of Days for our season. Right now, we are right in the wildcard race. If we can beat Tampa, that would put us at 3-1 in the division, and our last two games would be against the two divisional leaders. But we absolutely must work towards fixing the problems that Collin outlined, and I do think that cutting and signing certain players is a necessary step.
 
I think Foster's had his tendency to bounce outside so thoroughly beaten out of him that now he doesn't do it even when he should.

I also find myself wondering if Mike Minter shouldn't be back at strong safety. He was always better in that role. Maybe give Shaun Williams a shot at free safety for now and revisit those spots in the offseason.
 
Agree on Hartwig. I'd also like to see Carstens back in over Moorehead.

The "committee" approach at TE isn't working. We need one guy who can play consistently, and that guy isn't on our current roster. That issue likely doesn't get fixed till the offseason.

I said weeks ago I wished the Panthers would sign a guy like Petter Warrick to handle all returns. If they don't make a move like that now, then that's likely another "not till the offseason" action.

well, without Seidman, the TE situation will be more centered. Now you're just choosing between Mangum and Gaines, and those are your two options. I don't know that two more balls to either changes the game. In the future? Sure, maybe. Having one solid target couldn't hurt.

And yeah, Carstens should be in there more. He's not a world beater at all, but Moorehead's a bit of a fuckup and I still lament not keeping Tony Brown instead.

As for Minter at SS, I don't think that'll help. He's still a bad matchup on the TE and the mistakes aren't related to his spot on the field. It's unfortunate, though. It might be worth trying Branch at FS for a bit, but it wouldn't happen and I don't know that the difference is worth causing the problem with Minter (mitter).
 
11. Get in time machine. Go back to the offseason, ignore status as favorite to win it all, and most importantly, practice. I dont mean Allen Iverson practice, I mean, practice like we were gonna suck, and only be good if we gave 110% every friggin second of every game. The only person I see doing that is Peppers. Its unfortunate, hopefully we can finish strong.
 
I would suggest that we actually try to run the ball. We have had less than 20 carries in each of the last two games. The philosophy in 2003 was to keep hammering and wear down the other team. We have gotten away from that. Those two yard carries start to add up after three quarters and you end up breaking some big runs. Our defense has stayed on the field way too long this year.
 

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